How to Evaluate an Early-Warning System: Toward a Unified Statistical Framework for Assessing Financial Crises Forecasting Methods

B-Tier

Journal: IMF Economic Review

Year: 2012

Volume: 60

Issue: 1

Pages: 75-113

Authors (3)

Bertrand Candelon (not in RePEc) Elena-Ivona Dumitrescu (Université Paris-Nanterre (Par...) Christophe Hurlin (Université d'Orléans)

Score contribution per author:

0.673 = (α=2.02 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count