Exporter Dynamics and Partial-Year Effects

S-Tier
Journal: American Economic Review
Year: 2017
Volume: 107
Issue: 10
Pages: 3211-28

Score contribution per author:

1.609 = (α=2.01 / 5 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Two identical firms who start exporting in different months, one each in January and December, will report dramatically different exports for the first calendar year. This partial-year effect biases down first-year export levels and biases up first-year export growth rates. For Peruvian exporters, the partial-year bias is large: first-year export levels are understated by 54 percent and the first-year growth rate is overstated by 112 percentage points. Correcting the partial-year effect dramatically reduces first-year export growth rates, raises initial export levels, and almost doubles the contribution of net firm entry and exit to overall export growth.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aecrev:v:107:y:2017:i:10:p:3211-28
Journal Field
General
Author Count
5
Added to Database
2026-01-24