Expected Extent and Potential Duration of the World Import Crunch

C-Tier
Journal: Kyklos
Year: 2009
Volume: 62
Issue: 4
Pages: 479-487

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Against the background of a collapse of world trade and predictions in March 2009 by IMF, WTO and World Bank of a relatively quick rebound, this paper analyses how major post 1980 financial crises have impacted on import volumes of individual countries. The article finds that on average imports contracted by 25% during a period of 5 quarters, but argues that this provides a minimum estimate only for the depth and duration of the present world trade collapse.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:bla:kyklos:v:62:y:2009:i:4:p:479-487
Journal Field
General
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-24