A dynamic double hurdle model for remittances: evidence from Germany

C-Tier
Journal: Economic Modeling
Year: 2018
Volume: 73
Issue: C
Pages: 365-377

Score contribution per author:

0.335 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

In the last thirty years, migrant remittances have become a stable source of external finance for developing countries. In this paper, we investigate whether aggregate persistence can be traced back to individual remitting behaviour, as a result of migrants’ intertemporal choices. We propose a dynamic random-effects double hurdle model based on micro data from the German Socio-Economic Panel dataset. Our results show that there is significant state dependence in remitting behaviour, but in steady-state neither the probability to remit nor the transferred amounts are particularly large, thus suggesting that long-term intertemporal planning is rather sporadic. On these grounds, the medium-long term counterbalancing effect of remittances on the brain drain appears to be weak.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:ecmode:v:73:y:2018:i:c:p:365-377
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24