Financial Markets, the Real Economy, and Self‐Fulfilling Uncertainties

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Finance
Year: 2019
Volume: 74
Issue: 3
Pages: 1503-1557

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We develop a model of informational interdependence between financial markets and the real economy, linking economic uncertainty to information production and aggregate economic activities in general equilibrium. The mutual learning between financial markets and the real economy creates a strategic complementarity in their information production, leading to self‐fulfilling surges in economic uncertainties. In a dynamic setting, our model characterizes self‐fulfilling uncertainty traps with two steady‐state equilibria and a two‐stage economic crisis in transitional dynamics.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:bla:jfinan:v:74:y:2019:i:3:p:1503-1557
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24