Private information and sunspots in sequential asset markets

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Economic Theory
Year: 2015
Volume: 158
Issue: PB
Pages: 558-584

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We study a model where some agents have private information about risky asset returns and trade to obtain capital gains, while others acquire the risky asset and hold it to maturity, forming expectations of returns based on market prices. We show that under such a structure, in addition to fully revealing rational expectations equilibria, there exists a continuum of equilibrium prices consistent with rational expectations, where the asset prices are subject to sunspot shocks. Such sunspot shocks can generate persistent fluctuations in asset prices that look like a random walk in an efficient market.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jetheo:v:158:y:2015:i:pb:p:558-584
Journal Field
Theory
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-24