The long-run Phillips curve: A structural VAR investigation

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Monetary Economics
Year: 2015
Volume: 76
Issue: C
Pages: 15-28

Authors (1)

Score contribution per author:

4.022 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Both cointegration methods, and non-cointegrated structural VARs identified based on either long-run restrictions, or a combination of long-run and sign restrictions, are used in order to explore the long-run trade-off between inflation and the unemployment rate in the post-WWII U.S., U.K., Euro area, Canada, and Australia. Overall, neither approach produces clear evidence of a non-vertical trade-off. The extent of uncertainty surrounding the estimates is however substantial, thus implying that a researcher holding alternative priors about what a reasonable slope of the long-run trade-off might be will likely not see her views falsified.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:moneco:v:76:y:2015:i:c:p:15-28
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-24