The relationship between oil prices and exchange rates: Revisiting theory and evidence

A-Tier
Journal: Energy Economics
Year: 2020
Volume: 88
Issue: C

Authors (3)

Beckmann, Joscha (Fernuniversität in Hagen) Czudaj, Robert L. (not in RePEc) Arora, Vipin (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper reviews existing theoretical and empirical research on the relationship between oil prices and exchange rates. We start with theoretical transmission channels—which point to bi-directional causality. Empirical research is classified and shows that the evidence varies substantially depending on sample, country choice and empirical method. Yet there are some common patterns: (i) strong links between exchange rates and oil prices are frequently observed over the long-run; and (ii) either exchange rates or oil prices are a potentially useful predictor of the other variable in the short-run, but the effects are strongly time-varying. We also identify some important avenues for future research.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:eneeco:v:88:y:2020:i:c:s0140988320301122
Journal Field
Energy
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24