Private polling in elections and voter welfare

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Economic Theory
Year: 2009
Volume: 144
Issue: 5
Pages: 2021-2056

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We study elections in which two candidates poll voters about their preferred policies before taking policy positions. In the essentially unique equilibrium, candidates who receive moderate signals adopt more extreme platforms than their information suggests, but candidates with more extreme signals may moderate their platforms. Policy convergence does not maximize voters' welfare. Although candidates' platforms diverge in equilibrium, they do not do so as much as voters would like. We find that the electorate always prefers less correlation in candidate signals, and thus private over public polling. Some noise in the polling technology raises voters' welfare.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jetheo:v:144:y:2009:i:5:p:2021-2056
Journal Field
Theory
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24