Distilling the macroeconomic news flow

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Financial Economics
Year: 2015
Volume: 117
Issue: 3
Pages: 489-507

Authors (3)

Beber, Alessandro (City University) Brandt, Michael W. (not in RePEc) Luisi, Maurizio (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We propose a simple cross-sectional technique to extract daily factors from economic news released at different times and frequencies. Our approach can effectively handle the large number of different announcements that are relevant for tracking current economic conditions. We apply the technique to extract real-time measures of inflation, output, employment, and macroeconomic sentiment, as well as corresponding measures of disagreement among economists about these indices. We find that our procedure provides more timely and accurate forecasts of future changes in economic conditions than other real-time forecasting approaches.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jfinec:v:117:y:2015:i:3:p:489-507
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24