The Good and Bad Volatility: A New Class of Asymmetric Heteroskedastic Models

B-Tier
Journal: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
Year: 2021
Volume: 83
Issue: 2
Pages: 540-570

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper introduces a new class of tractable asymmetric heteroskedastic models, the good and bad volatility (GBV). Asymmetry is recognized in the dynamics of GBV components that correspond to positive and negative shocks respectively. The GBV model allows both conditional semivariances to evolve according to two separate functional forms with different semi‐definite distributions. An empirical application to six major index returns shows a fitting improvement over well‐known asymmetric volatility models in the financial literature. The model further leads to significant improvements in forecasting performance. The derived nontrivial news impact curves convey the dichotomy that asymmetry in financial returns has different dynamics for positive and negative shocks.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:bla:obuest:v:83:y:2021:i:2:p:540-570
Journal Field
General
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-24