Pricing the term structure with linear regressions

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Financial Economics
Year: 2013
Volume: 110
Issue: 1
Pages: 110-138

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We show how to price the time series and cross section of the term structure of interest rates using a three-step linear regression approach. Our method allows computationally fast estimation of term structure models with a large number of pricing factors. We present specification tests favoring a model using five principal components of yields as factors. We demonstrate that this model outperforms the Cochrane and Piazzesi (2008) four-factor specification in out-of-sample exercises but generates similar in-sample term premium dynamics. Our regression approach can also incorporate unspanned factors and allows estimation of term structure models without observing a zero-coupon yield curve.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jfinec:v:110:y:2013:i:1:p:110-138
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24