German Wage Moderation and European Imbalances: Feeding the Global VAR with Theory

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking
Year: 2019
Volume: 51
Issue: 2-3
Pages: 617-653

Authors (2)

TIMO BETTENDORF (Deutsche Bundesbank) MIGUEL A. LEÓN‐LEDESMA (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

German labor market reforms in the 1990s and 2000s are generally believed to have driven the large increase in the dispersion of current account balances in the Euro Area. We investigate this hypothesis quantitatively. We develop a three‐region open economy New Keynesian model with search and matching frictions from which we derive robust sign restrictions for wage bargaining and matching efficiency shocks which we term wage moderation shocks. We impose these restrictions on a Global VAR consisting of Germany and eight EMU countries to identify a wage moderation shock in Germany. Our results show that, although the German current account was significantly affected by wage moderation shocks, their contribution to European current account imbalances was negligible. We conclude that the German labor market reforms cannot be the lone driver of European imbalances.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:jmoncb:v:51:y:2019:i:2-3:p:617-653
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-24