Investment‐Specific News Shocks and U.S. Business Cycles

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking
Year: 2015
Volume: 47
Issue: 7
Pages: 1443-1464

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We provide robust evidence that news shocks about future investment‐specific technology (IST) constitute a significant force behind U.S. business cycles. Positive IST news shocks induce comovement, that is, raise output, consumption, investment, and hours. These shocks account for 70% of the business cycle variation in output, hours, and consumption, and 60% of the variation in investment, and have played an important role in 9 of the last 10 U.S. recessions. Our findings provide strong support for shifting focus to IST news shocks when investigating the role of news in driving U.S. business cycles.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:jmoncb:v:47:y:2015:i:7:p:1443-1464
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-24