Coase Lecture ‐ The Inverted‐U Relationship Between Credit Access and Productivity Growth

C-Tier
Journal: Economica
Year: 2019
Volume: 86
Issue: 341
Pages: 1-31

Authors (5)

Philippe Aghion (not in RePEc) Antonin Bergeaud (HEC Paris (École des Hautes Ét...) Gilbert Cette (not in RePEc) Rémy Lecat (Banque de France) Hélène Maghin (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.201 = (α=2.01 / 5 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We identify two counteracting effects of credit access on productivity growth: on the one hand, better access to credit makes it easier for entrepreneurs to innovate; on the other hand, better credit access allows less efficient incumbent firms to remain longer on the market, thereby discouraging entry of new and potentially more efficient innovators. We first develop a simple model of firm dynamics and innovation‐based growth with credit constraints, where the above two counteracting effects generate an inverted‐U relationship between credit access and productivity growth. Then we test our theory on a comprehensive French manufacturing firm‐level dataset. We first show evidence of an inverted‐U relationship between credit constraints and productivity growth when we aggregate our data at the sectoral level. We then move to firm‐level analysis, and show that incumbent firms with easier access to credit experience higher productivity growth, but that they also experience lower exit rates, particularly the least productive firms among them. To support these findings, we exploit the 2012 Eurosystem's Additional Credit Claims programme as a quasi‐experiment that generated an exogenous extra supply of credits for a subset of incumbent firms.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:bla:econom:v:86:y:2019:i:341:p:1-31
Journal Field
General
Author Count
5
Added to Database
2026-01-24