The ACR Model: A Multivariate Dynamic Mixture Autoregression*

B-Tier
Journal: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
Year: 2008
Volume: 70
Issue: 5
Pages: 583-618

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper proposes and analyses the autoregressive conditional root (ACR) time‐series model. This multivariate dynamic mixture autoregression allows for non‐stationary epochs. It proves to be an appealing alternative to existing nonlinear models, e.g. the threshold autoregressive or Markov switching class of models, which are commonly used to describe nonlinear dynamics as implied by arbitrage in presence of transaction costs. Simple conditions on the parameters of the ACR process and its innovations are shown to imply geometric ergodicity, stationarity and existence of moments. Furthermore, consistency and asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimators are established. An application to real exchange rate data illustrates the analysis.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:bla:obuest:v:70:y:2008:i:5:p:583-618
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24