Global spillover effects of US uncertainty

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Monetary Economics
Year: 2020
Volume: 114
Issue: C
Pages: 71-89

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Spillover effects of US uncertainty shocks are studied in a panel VAR of fifteen emerging market economies (EMEs). A US uncertainty shock negatively affects EME stock prices and exchange rates, raises EME country spreads, and decreases capital inflows into them. It decreases EME output and consumer prices while increasing net exports. Negative effects on output and asset prices are weaker, but effects on external balance stronger, for Latin American EMEs. We attribute such heterogeneity to differential EME monetary policy response to US uncertainty shocks. Analysis of central bank minutes shows Latin American EMEs pay less attention to smoothing capital flows.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:moneco:v:114:y:2020:i:c:p:71-89
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24