Bidding and Drilling under Uncertainty: An Empirical Analysis of Contingent Payment Auctions

S-Tier
Journal: Journal of Political Economy
Year: 2022
Volume: 130
Issue: 5
Pages: 1319 - 1363

Authors (3)

Vivek Bhattacharya (Northwestern University) Andrey Ordin (not in RePEc) James W. Roberts (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

2.681 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Auctions are often used to sell assets whose future cash flows require the winner to make postauction investments. When winners’ payments are contingent on these cash flows, auction design can influence both bidding and incentives to exert effort after the auction. We propose a model of contingent payment auctions that links auction design to postauction economic activity. In the context of oil leases in the Permian Basin, we show that moral hazard affects the relative revenue ranking of different auction designs. Among a large class of alternatives, the observed design cannot be changed to increase both revenues and drilling rates.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:ucp:jpolec:doi:10.1086/718916
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24