The Great Depression and the Great Recession: A view from financial markets

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Monetary Economics
Year: 2020
Volume: 114
Issue: C
Pages: 240-261

Score contribution per author:

4.022 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Similarities between the Great Depression and the Great Recession are documented with respect to the behavior of financial markets. A Great Depression regime is identified by using a Markov-switching VAR. The probability of this regime has remained close to zero for many decades, but spiked for a short period during the most recent financial crisis, the Great Recession. The Great Depression regime implies a collapse of the stock market, with small-growth stocks outperforming small-value stocks. A model with financial frictions and uncertainty about policy makers’ intervention suggests that policy intervention during the Great Recession might have avoided a second Great Depression. A multi-country analysis shows that the Great Depression and Great Recession were not like any other financial crises.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:moneco:v:114:y:2020:i:c:p:240-261
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-24