The elusive character of fiscal sustainability

C-Tier
Journal: Applied Economics
Year: 2016
Volume: 48
Issue: 28
Pages: 2651-2664

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We assess the sustainability of public finances in OECD countries using unit root and cointegration analysis, controlling for endogenous breaks. Results deem fiscal sustainability as rather elusive since we find lack of cointegration -- absence of sustainability -- between government revenues and expenditures (except for Austria, Canada, France, Germany, Japan, Netherlands, Sweden and UK); improvements of the primary balance after worsening debt ratios only for Australia, Belgium, Germany, Ireland, Netherlands and the UK; and Granger causality from government debt to primary balances for 12 countries (suggesting Ricardian regimes).

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:28:p:2651-2664
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-24