Equilibrium Pricing and Trading Volume under Preference Uncertainty

S-Tier
Journal: Review of Economic Studies
Year: 2014
Volume: 81
Issue: 4
Pages: 1401-1437

Score contribution per author:

2.681 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Information collection and processing in financial institutions is challenging. This can delay the observation by traders of the exact capital charges and constraints of their institution. During this delay, traders face preference uncertainty. In this context, we study optimal trading strategies and equilibrium prices in a continuous centralized market. We focus on liquidity shocks, during which preference uncertainty is likely to matter most. Preference uncertainty generates allocative inefficiency, but need not reduce prices. Progressively learning about preferences generate round–trip trades, which increase volume relative to the frictionless market. In a cross section of liquidity shocks, the initial price drop is positively correlated with total trading volume. Across traders, the number of round–trips is negatively correlated with trading profits and average inventory.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:oup:restud:v:81:y:2014:i:4:p:1401-1437
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24