Commodity prices and fiscal policy design: Procyclical despite a rule

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Applied Econometrics
Year: 2019
Volume: 34
Issue: 2
Pages: 161-180

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Recent studies offer evidence of reduced fiscal procyclicality to commodity price changes in resource‐rich countries—a feature commonly attributed to the adoption of fiscal policy rules. We revisit this issue and find that, by controlling for global activity shocks while allowing for time‐varying changes in both fiscal policy and the volatility of shocks, this finding does not hold. To show this we develop a time‐varying dynamic factor model, allowing for a multiple of shocks, stochastic volatility and time‐varying parameters, and estimate it on data for Norway, whose handling of resource wealth is often cited as exemplary.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:japmet:v:34:y:2019:i:2:p:161-180
Journal Field
Econometrics
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-24