The shale oil boom and the US economy: Spillovers and time‐varying effects

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Applied Econometrics
Year: 2024
Volume: 39
Issue: 6
Pages: 1000-1020

Authors (2)

Hilde C. Bjørnland (BI Handelshøyskolen) Julia Skretting (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We provide new evidence that the transmission of oil price shocks to the US economy has changed with the shale oil boom. To show this, we develop a time‐varying parameter factor‐augmented vector autoregressive (FAVAR) model with a large data environment of state‐level, industry, and aggregate US data. The model effectively captures potential spillovers between oil and non‐oil industries, as well as variation over time. Specified in this way, we find that investment, income, industrial production, and (non‐oil) employment in most oil‐producing and some manufacturing‐intensive US states increase following an oil‐specific shock—effects that were not present before the shale oil boom.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:japmet:v:39:y:2024:i:6:p:1000-1020
Journal Field
Econometrics
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-24