Gambling Preferences, Options Markets, and Volatility

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis
Year: 2016
Volume: 51
Issue: 2
Pages: 515-540

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This study examines whether the gambling behavior of investors affects volume and volatility in financial markets. Focusing on the options market, we find that the ratio of call option volume relative to total option volume is greatest for stocks with return distributions that resemble lotteries. Consistent with the theoretical predictions of Stein (1987), we demonstrate that gambling-motivated trading in the options market influences future spot price volatility. These results not only identify a link between lottery preferences in the stock market and the options market, but they also suggest that lottery preferences can lead to destabilized stock prices.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:cup:jfinqa:v:51:y:2016:i:02:p:515-540_00
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24