The Phillips Curve: Back to the '60s?

S-Tier
Journal: American Economic Review
Year: 2016
Volume: 106
Issue: 5
Pages: 31-34

Score contribution per author:

8.043 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper reexamines the behavior of inflation and unemployment and reaches four conclusions: 1) The U.S. Phillips curve is alive and well (at least as well as in the past). 2) Inflation expectations however have become steadily more anchored. 3) The slope of the curve has substantially declined. But the decline dates back to the 1980s rather than to the crisis. 4) The standard error of the residual in the relation is large, especially in comparison to the low level of inflation. Each of the four conclusions presents challenges for the conduct of monetary policy.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aecrev:v:106:y:2016:i:5:p:31-34
Journal Field
General
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-24