Experimental Results on Expressed Certainty and Hypothetical Bias in Contingent Valuation

C-Tier
Journal: Southern Economic Journal
Year: 1998
Volume: 65
Issue: 1
Pages: 169-177

Authors (5)

Karen Blumenschein (not in RePEc) Magnus Johannesson (Stockholm School of Economics) Glenn C. Blomquist (University of Kentucky) Bengt Liljas (not in RePEc) Richard M. O'Conor (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.201 = (α=2.01 / 5 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Use of the contingent valuation method is controversial among economists because it is based on hypothetical rather than real choices. Previous experiments have suggested that the commonly used dichotomous choice contingent valuation method leads to hypothetical bias, i.e., overestimates the real willingness to pay. We carried out an experiment to compare the dichotomous choice contingent valuation method with real purchase decisions for a consumer good. We confirm previous findings that hypothetical yes responses overestimate real purchase decisions, but we cannot reject the null hypothesis that definitely sure yes responses correspond to real purchase decisions.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:soecon:v:65:y:1998:i:1:p:169-177
Journal Field
General
Author Count
5
Added to Database
2026-01-24