Can news help measure economic sentiment? An application in COVID-19 times

C-Tier
Journal: Economics Letters
Year: 2021
Volume: 199
Issue: C

Score contribution per author:

0.251 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We construct a new newspaper-based sentiment indicator for Spain that allows to monitor economic activity in real-time. As opposed to survey-based confidence indicators that are released at the end of the month, our indicator can be constructed on a daily basis. We compare our index with the popular Economic Sentiment Indicator of the European Commission and show that ours performs significantly better in nowcasting the Spanish GDP. Moreover, it proves to be helpful to predict the current COVID-19 recession from an earlier date.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:ecolet:v:199:y:2021:i:c:s0165176521000070
Journal Field
General
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-24