FBBVA Lecture 2023. The Importance of Modeling Income Taxes over Time: U.S. Reforms and Outcomes

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of the European Economic Association
Year: 2023
Volume: 21
Issue: 6
Pages: 2237-2286

Authors (5)

Margherita Borella (Università degli Studi di Tori...) Mariacristina De Nardi (not in RePEc) Michael Pak (not in RePEc) Nicolo Russo (not in RePEc) Fang Yang (Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas)

Score contribution per author:

0.804 = (α=2.01 / 5 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

The structure of taxes and their burden have undergone large and frequent changes over time. We provide a brief history of U.S. federal income tax reform since the 1960s, calculate effective federal income tax rates for each wave of the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, and discuss how effective taxation changed from 1969 to 2016. We show that most tax regimes are short-lived and that the variation in taxes over time and across groups is large. We also use an estimated dynamic model of couples and singles to show that the various tax regimes that we estimate imply very different labor market and saving behavior. These findings stress the importance of studying and modeling tax changes over time and across groups.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:oup:jeurec:v:21:y:2023:i:6:p:2237-2286.
Journal Field
General
Author Count
5
Added to Database
2026-01-24