Positive semidefinite integrated covariance estimation, factorizations and asynchronicity

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Econometrics
Year: 2017
Volume: 196
Issue: 2
Pages: 347-367

Score contribution per author:

0.804 = (α=2.01 / 5 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

An estimator of the ex-post covariation of log-prices under asynchronicity and microstructure noise is proposed. It uses the Cholesky factorization of the covariance matrix in order to exploit the heterogeneity in trading intensities to estimate the different parameters sequentially with as many observations as possible. The estimator is positive semidefinite by construction. We derive asymptotic results and confirm their good finite sample properties by means of a Monte Carlo simulation. In the application we forecast portfolio Value-at-Risk and sector risk exposures for a portfolio of 52 stocks. We find that the dynamic models utilizing the proposed high-frequency estimator provide statistically and economically superior forecasts.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:econom:v:196:y:2017:i:2:p:347-367
Journal Field
Econometrics
Author Count
5
Added to Database
2026-01-24