The effect of natural disasters on economic activity in US counties: A century of data

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Urban Economics
Year: 2020
Volume: 118
Issue: C

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

More than 100 natural disasters strike the United States every year, causing extensive fatalities and damages. We construct the universe of US federally designated natural disasters from 1920 to 2010. We find that severe disasters increase out-migration rates at the county level by 1.5 percentage points and lower housing prices/rents by 2.5–5.0 percent. The migration response to milder disasters is smaller but has been increasing over time. The economic response to disasters is most consistent with falling local productivity and labor demand. Disasters that convey more information about future disaster risk increase the pace of out-migration.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:juecon:v:118:y:2020:i:c:s0094119020300280
Journal Field
Urban
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-24