Moment-Based Tests under Parameter Uncertainty

A-Tier
Journal: Review of Economics and Statistics
Year: 2019
Volume: 101
Issue: 1
Pages: 146-159

Score contribution per author:

4.022 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Abstract This paper considers moment-based tests applied to estimated quantities. We propose a general class of transforms of moments to handle the parameter uncertainty problem. The construction requires only a linear correction that can be implemented in sample and remains valid for some extended families of nonsmooth moments. We reemphasize the attractiveness of working with robust moments, which lead to testing procedures that do not depend on the estimator. Furthermore, no correction is needed when considering the implied test statistic in the out-of-sample case. We apply our methodology to various examples with an emphasis on the backtesting of value-at-risk forecasts.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:tpr:restat:v:101:y:2019:i:1:p:146-159
Journal Field
General
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-24