Optimal Inference for Spot Regressions

S-Tier
Journal: American Economic Review
Year: 2024
Volume: 114
Issue: 3
Pages: 678-708

Score contribution per author:

2.681 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Betas from return regressions are commonly used to measure systematic financial market risks. "Good" beta measurements are essential for a range of empirical inquiries in finance and macroeconomics. We introduce a novel econometric framework for the nonparametric estimation of time-varying betas with high-frequency data. The "local Gaussian" property of the generic continuous-time benchmark model enables optimal "finite-sample" inference in a well-defined sense. It also affords more reliable inference in empirically realistic settings compared to conventional large-sample approaches. Two applications pertaining to the tracking performance of leveraged ETFs and an intraday event study illustrate the practical usefulness of the new procedures.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aecrev:v:114:y:2024:i:3:p:678-708
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24