Dynamic estimation of volatility risk premia and investor risk aversion from option-implied and realized volatilities

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Econometrics
Year: 2011
Volume: 160
Issue: 1
Pages: 235-245

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper proposes a method for constructing a volatility risk premium, or investor risk aversion, index. The method is intuitive and simple to implement, relying on the sample moments of the recently popularized model-free realized and option-implied volatility measures. A small-scale Monte Carlo experiment confirms that the procedure works well in practice. Implementing the procedure with actual S&P500 option-implied volatilities and high-frequency five-minute-based realized volatilities indicates significant temporal dependencies in the estimated stochastic volatility risk premium, which we in turn relate to a set of macro-finance state variables. We also find that the extracted volatility risk premium helps predict future stock market returns.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:econom:v:160:y:2011:i:1:p:235-245
Journal Field
Econometrics
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24