Jump tails, extreme dependencies, and the distribution of stock returns

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Econometrics
Year: 2013
Volume: 172
Issue: 2
Pages: 307-324

Authors (3)

Bollerslev, Tim (National Bureau of Economic Re...) Todorov, Viktor (not in RePEc) Li, Sophia Zhengzi (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We provide a new framework for estimating the systematic and idiosyncratic jump tail risks in financial asset prices. Our estimates are based on in-fill asymptotics for directly identifying the jumps, together with Extreme Value Theory (EVT) approximations and methods-of-moments for assessing the tail decay parameters and tail dependencies. On implementing the procedures with a panel of intraday prices for a large cross-section of individual stocks and the S&P 500 market portfolio, we find that the distributions of the systematic and idiosyncratic jumps are both generally heavy-tailed and close to symmetric, and show how the jump tail dependencies deduced from the high-frequency data together with the day-to-day variation in the diffusive volatility account for the “extreme” joint dependencies observed at the daily level.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:econom:v:172:y:2013:i:2:p:307-324
Journal Field
Econometrics
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24