Nonlinear effects of asset prices on fiscal policy: Evidence from the UK, Italy and Spain

C-Tier
Journal: Economic Modeling
Year: 2015
Volume: 44
Issue: C
Pages: 358-362

Score contribution per author:

0.335 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We test for nonlinear effects of asset prices on the fiscal policy of three major European economies (the UK, Italy and Spain). We model primary government spending and government revenue as time-varying transition probability Markovian processes (TVPMS). We find that while in Italy fiscal policy is substantially neutral vis-à-vis asset price movements, fiscal authorities in the UK and Spain seem to track the dynamics of wealth. In particular, revenue-based fiscal policy interventions in the UK are particularly effective in counteracting shocks in the asset markets induced by sharp wealth fluctuations. Similarly, in Spain, the spending-side of the fiscal policy plays a dominant role in stabilizing stock and housing markets.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:ecmode:v:44:y:2015:i:c:p:358-362
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24