Detecting groups in large vector autoregressions

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Econometrics
Year: 2021
Volume: 225
Issue: 1
Pages: 2-26

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This work introduces the stochastic block vector autoregressive (SB-VAR) model. In this class of vector autoregressions, the time series are partitioned into latent groups such that spillover effects are stronger among series that belong to the same group than otherwise. A key question that arises in this framework is how to detect the latent groups from a sample of observations generated by the model. To this end, we propose a group detection algorithm based on the eigenvectors of a function of the estimated autoregressive matrices. We establish that the proposed algorithm consistently detects the groups when the cross-sectional and time-series dimensions are sufficiently large. The methodology is applied to study the group structure of a panel of risk measures of top financial institutions in the United States and a panel of word counts extracted from Twitter.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:econom:v:225:y:2021:i:1:p:2-26
Journal Field
Econometrics
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-24