Inflation Targeting, Recursive Inattentiveness, and Heterogeneous Beliefs

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking
Year: 2017
Volume: 49
Issue: 7
Pages: 1587-1619

Authors (4)

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We consider a monetary authority that provides an explicit inflation target in order to align expectations with the policy objective. However, biased perceptions of the target may arise due to imperfect information flows. We allow agents to revise expectations over time and we model their recursive choice among prediction strategies as an optimization problem under rational inattention. We then investigate whether a simple policy rule can steer the economy toward the targeted equilibrium. Our findings suggest that determinacy under rational expectations may not be sufficient to reach the target. Instead, monetary policy should be fine‐tuned to correct agents' biased beliefs.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:jmoncb:v:49:y:2017:i:7:p:1587-1619
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-24