The currency that came in from the cold: Capital controls and the information content of order flow

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of International Money and Finance
Year: 2023
Volume: 138
Issue: C

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We analyse how capital controls affect FX microstructure, using as a case study the introduction and subsequent removal of controls in Iceland. We use a VAR of private order flow, Central Bank order flow and EURISK that allows for contemporaneous feedback effects to analyse the impact and information content of trades and find that controls have profound effects. When controls were introduced, volume plummeted, the information content of trading activity declined and became less responsive to macro news. While there was no recovery of trading volume after controls were abolished, the information content and responsiveness of trading activity increased sharply.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jimfin:v:138:y:2023:i:c:s0261560623001468
Journal Field
International
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24