Credit and social unrest: Evidence from 1930s China

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Financial Economics
Year: 2020
Volume: 138
Issue: 2
Pages: 295-315

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Do credit contractions trigger social unrest? To answer this question, we turn to a natural experiment from 1930s China, where the 1933 U.S. Silver Purchase program acts as a shock to bank lending. We assemble a hand-collected data set of loan contracts between banks and firms, labor unrest episodes, and underground Communist Party penetration. The Silver Purchase shock results in a severe credit contraction, and firms borrowing from banks with a larger exposure to it experience increased labor unrest and Communist Party penetration among their workers. These findings contribute to understanding the socio-political consequences of credit shocks.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jfinec:v:138:y:2020:i:2:p:295-315
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24