Macroeconomic risk and hedge fund returns

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Financial Economics
Year: 2014
Volume: 114
Issue: 1
Pages: 1-19

Authors (3)

Bali, Turan G. (not in RePEc) Brown, Stephen J. (New York University (NYU)) Caglayan, Mustafa O. (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper estimates hedge fund and mutual fund exposure to newly proposed measures of macroeconomic risk that are interpreted as measures of economic uncertainty. We find that the resulting uncertainty betas explain a significant proportion of the cross-sectional dispersion in hedge fund returns. However, the same is not true for mutual funds, for which there is no significant relationship. After controlling for a large set of fund characteristics and risk factors, the positive relation between uncertainty betas and future hedge fund returns remains economically and statistically significant. Hence, we argue that macroeconomic risk is a powerful determinant of cross-sectional differences in hedge fund returns.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jfinec:v:114:y:2014:i:1:p:1-19
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24