Is economic uncertainty priced in the cross-section of stock returns?

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Financial Economics
Year: 2017
Volume: 126
Issue: 3
Pages: 471-489

Authors (3)

Bali, Turan G. (not in RePEc) Brown, Stephen J. (New York University (NYU)) Tang, Yi (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We investigate the role of economic uncertainty in the cross-sectional pricing of individual stocks and equity portfolios. We estimate stock exposure to an economic uncertainty index and show that stocks in the lowest uncertainty beta decile generate 6% more annualized risk-adjusted return compared to stocks in the highest uncertainty beta decile. We find that the uncertainty premium is driven by the outperformance (underperformance) by stocks with negative (positive) uncertainty beta. Our results indicate that uncertainty-averse investors demand extra compensation to hold stocks with negative uncertainty beta and they are willing to pay high prices for stocks with positive uncertainty beta.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jfinec:v:126:y:2017:i:3:p:471-489
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24