Response of Consumer Debt to Income Shocks: The Case of Energy Booms and Busts

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking
Year: 2021
Volume: 53
Issue: 7
Pages: 1629-1675

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Consumer debt is an important vehicle for smoothing through income shocks. I study localized income shocks from oil and gas development to investigate consumer response. Using quarterly information on consumer debt and oil and gas activity between 2000 and 2016, I find that consumer debt increased at a peak of $660 per capita, equivalent to 1.3% of median household income in counties with shale endowment and increased drilling. Shocks to local wages via drilling revealed a marginal propensity to borrow of 0.45. Relative to areas with oil and gas development experience, the marginal propensity to borrow was two times larger in previously undeveloped areas.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:jmoncb:v:53:y:2021:i:7:p:1629-1675
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-24