Immigration and electoral outcomes: Evidence from the 2015 refugee inflow to Germany

B-Tier
Journal: Regional Science and Urban Economics
Year: 2022
Volume: 96
Issue: C

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper investigates the effects of local exposure to refugees on electoral outcomes in the 2016 state election in Germany. Based on quasi-random variation in the allocation of refugees across municipalities and unique data on refugee populations and their type of accommodation, I find that an increase in the population share of refugees increases the vote share of right-wing parties and decreases the vote share of the incumbent federal government parties. The electoral effects, however, are rather small and solely driven by refugees living in centralized accommodation, while no such effects are found for refugees living in decentralized accommodation.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:regeco:v:96:y:2022:i:c:s0166046222000473
Journal Field
Urban
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-24