Can interest rate spreads stabilize the euro area?

C-Tier
Journal: Applied Economics
Year: 2015
Volume: 47
Issue: 34-35
Pages: 3696-3709

Authors (3)

Michał Brzoza-Brzezina (Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warsz...) Jacek Kotłowski (not in RePEc) Kamil Wierus (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.335 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Since the onset of the financial crisis significant interest rate spreads have arisen between euro area countries, both for public and private debt. We check whether these spreads could be made to work towards the goal of providing more stability to the euro area. In particular, we focus on reducing the imbalances that arose between the core and peripheral members of the euro area in the first decade of its existence. The idea is that stable positive spreads in peripheral countries could have decreased domestic demand, preventing the boom-bust cycles that plagued these economies. They could also prevent such developments in the future. We construct a panel model for euro area countries and estimate the relationship between real interest rates and the current account balance. Next, we use the estimated parameters to perform simulations. We find that spreads on real interest rates of 0.6-5.5 percentage points would have been necessary to stabilize external positions of the four peripheral euro area member countries.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:taf:applec:v:47:y:2015:i:34-35:p:3696-3709
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24