Demand Effects in the FX Forward Market: Micro Evidence from Banks’ Dollar Hedging

A-Tier
Journal: The Review of Financial Studies
Year: 2021
Volume: 34
Issue: 9
Pages: 4177-4215

Authors (2)

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Using contract-level supervisory data, we show that dollar forward sales by non-U.S. banks that are initiated at the end of a quarter and mature shortly after it concludes trade at higher prices and higher volumes. These effects are driven by banks with large net on-balance-sheet dollar assets that they can hedge around quarter ends by selling dollars forward (increasing off-balance-sheet short positions), which suggests regulatory arbitrage to reduce capital charges for open foreign exchange (FX) exposure. Our results indicate that demand effects related to banks’ management of FX exposure are an important driver of deviations from covered interest rate parity.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:oup:rfinst:v:34:y:2021:i:9:p:4177-4215.
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-24