Finance, informal competition, and expectations: A firm-level analysis

B-Tier
Journal: World Development
Year: 2024
Volume: 173
Issue: C

Authors (3)

Brancati, Emanuele (Institute of Labor Economics (...) Di Maio, Michele (not in RePEc) Rahman, Aminur (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper documents the link between finance and informal competition. Using longitudinal firm-level data, we show that formal firms that are more exposed to the competition of informal firms are less likely to apply for a bank loan. This result is not due to sample selection, omitted variable bias, or reverse causality, and it is robust to different econometric specifications, including the use of an IV strategy. As for the mechanism explaining our result, we show that firms more exposed to informal competition have worse expectations on future sales growth, which in turn are associated with a lower probability of loan application. Finally, we provide suggestive evidence excluding supply-side mechanisms that may explain heterogeneities in firms’ access to finance.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:wdevel:v:173:y:2024:i:c:s0305750x23002267
Journal Field
Development
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-24