A new posterior sampler for Bayesian structural vector autoregressive models

B-Tier
Journal: Quantitative Economics
Year: 2023
Volume: 14
Issue: 4
Pages: 1221-1250

Authors (2)

Martin Bruns (University of East Anglia) Michele Piffer (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We develop an importance sampler for sign restricted Bayesian structural vector autoregressive models. The algorithm nests as a special case the sampler associated with the popular Normal inverse Wishart Uniform prior, while allowing to move beyond such prior in medium sized models. We then propose a prior on contemporaneous impulse responses that provides flexibility on the magnitude and shape of the impact responses. We illustrate the quantitative relevance of the choice of the prior in an application to US monetary policy shocks. We find that the real effects of monetary policy shocks are stronger under our proposed prior than in the Normal inverse Wishart Uniform setup.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:quante:v:14:y:2023:i:4:p:1221-1250
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25