A Fiscal Theory of Hyperdeflations? Some Surprising Monetarist Arithmetic.

C-Tier
Journal: Oxford Economic Papers
Year: 1987
Volume: 39
Issue: 1
Pages: 111-18

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

For the range of "small" government deficits for which two stationary solutions exist, an increase in the deficit reduces the long-run rate of inflation if the locally-stable (high inflation) stationary equilibrium is chosen, increases it if the locally- unstable (low inflation) equilibrium is chosen. Explosive, unstable behavior always involves a steadily increasing negative rate of inflation, i.e. a "hyperdeflation." There always exist deficits so large that stationary solutions do not exist. Behavior then is unstable and explosive: hyperinflations are ruled out and hyperdeflations must result. Empirical studies of hyperinflations should no longer use the rational-expectations version of the Sargent-Wallace model as a theoretical backdrop. Copyright 1987 by Royal Economic Society.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:oup:oxecpp:v:39:y:1987:i:1:p:111-18
Journal Field
General
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-25