Efficient Institutions and Effective Deterrence: On Timing and Uncertainty of Formal Sanctions

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Risk and Uncertainty
Year: 2021
Volume: 62
Issue: 2
Pages: 177-201

Authors (4)

Johannes Buckenmaier (Universität Zürich) Eugen Dimant (not in RePEc) Ann-Christin Posten (not in RePEc) Ulrich Schmidt (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Abstract Economic theory suggests that the deterrence of deviant behavior is driven by a combination of severity and certainty of punishment. This paper presents the first controlled experiment to study a third important factor that has been mainly overlooked: the swiftness of formal sanctions. We consider two dimensions: the timing at which the uncertainty about whether one will be punished is dissolved and the timing at which the punishment is actually imposed, as well as the combination thereof. By varying these dimensions of delay systematically, we find a surprising non-monotonic relation with deterrence: either no delay (immediate resolution and immediate punishment) or maximum delay (both resolution and punishment as much as possible delayed) emerge as most effective at deterring deviant behavior and recidivism. Our results yield implications for the design of institutional policies aimed at mitigating misconduct and reducing recidivism.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:kap:jrisku:v:62:y:2021:i:2:d:10.1007_s11166-021-09352-x
Journal Field
Theory
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-25