Estimating affine multifactor term structure models using closed-form likelihood expansions

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Financial Economics
Year: 2010
Volume: 98
Issue: 1
Pages: 113-144

Authors (2)

Aït-Sahalia, Yacine (Princeton University) Kimmel, Robert L. (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We develop and implement a technique for closed-form maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of multifactor affine yield models. We derive closed-form approximations to likelihoods for nine Dai and Singleton (2000) affine models. Simulations show our technique very accurately approximates true (but infeasible) MLE. Using US Treasury data, we estimate nine affine yield models with different market price of risk specifications. MLE allows non-nested model comparison using likelihood ratio tests; the preferred model depends on the market price of risk. Estimation with simulated and real data suggests our technique is much closer to true MLE than Euler and quasi-maximum likelihood (QML) methods.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jfinec:v:98:y:2010:i:1:p:113-144
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-24